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    BEGINNEROPS07 de mai. de 2026

    Runway Projection

    Runway across 3 scenarios (base/bear/bull) over 18 months + the risk month identified + 3 actions to extend it by 3 months each. Refuses optimistic-only projections.

    View on GitHub
    WORKS IN
    CLAUDEany setup

    Pure-LLM skill. No MCP, no paid tool required. Works on Claude.ai web, desktop and Claude Code.

    WORKS BEST WITH
    • Stripe MCPoptional

      pulls real MRR + 30/90d growth + churn straight from Stripe instead of you guessing the inputs

    • Filesystemoptional

      saves a monthly snapshot to ~/runway/YYYY-MM.md and computes deltas vs the previous month so you see what changed

    TAGS
    founderfinancerunwayburnscenarios

    What this skill does

    Projects your runway across 3 scenarios (base, bear, bull) from your current MRR, growth rate, churn and fixed burn. Shows months until you run out and what has to change to extend it.

    When to use

    • Monthly (the founder's early warning)
    • Before any hire
    • Before increasing acquisition spend
    • To prep an investor conversation (defensive round)

    How it works

    1. You give it: cash on hand, MRR, growth%, churn%, fixed burn, planned hires
    2. The skill simulates 18 months across 3 scenarios (base/bear/bull)
    3. Calculates 'months to $0' in each scenario
    4. Identifies the riskiest month (usually where a hire lands)
    5. Suggests 3 actions that each extend runway by 3 months
    6. Returns an ASCII chart and a monthly table

    Scenarios

    • Base: growth and churn as in the last 90 days
    • Bear: growth -50%, churn +30% (recession / accelerated churn)
    • Bull: growth +30%, churn unchanged (the campaign works)

    Output example

    Runway Projection — 2026-05

Inputs
Cash: R$ 240.000
Current MRR: R$ 18.000  | Growth 90d: 12%/mo  | Churn: 4%/mo
Fixed burn: R$ 32.000/mo | Planned hire: +R$ 8.000 in 2026-08

Scenarios
              Base    Bear    Bull
Months to $0   14      9      22
Cash at 6m     140k    95k    178k
MRR at 12m     54k     22k    78k

Risk month
2026-09: cash at 95k in the bear scenario (only 3 months of runway)

3 actions that extend runway by 3 months each
1. Push the hire from 08 to 11 (extends 4 months in the bear case)
2. Raise price 15% (extends 2 months, churn likely +1%)
3. Cut 1 SaaS at R$ 1.500/mo (extends 1 month)

    Pre-reqs

    None. You only need the 6 inputs.

    Build.

    Work.

    Dream.

    Create.